Predicting the Need for Blood Transfusions in Cardiac Surgery: A Comparison between Machine Learning Algorithms and Established Risk Scores in the Brazilian Population

ABSTRACT Introduction: Blood transfusion is a common practice in cardiac surgery, despite its well-known negative effects. To mitigate blood transfusion-associated risks, identifying patients who are at higher risk of needing this procedure is crucial. Widely used risk scores to predict the need for blood transfusions have yielded unsatisfactory results when validated for the Brazilian population. Methods: In this retrospective study, machine learning (ML) algorithms were compared to predict the need for blood transfusions in a cohort of 495 cardiac surgery patients treated at a Brazilian reference service between 2019 and 2021. The performance of the models was evaluated using various metrics, including the area under the curve (AUC), and compared to the commonly used Transfusion Risk and Clinical Knowledge (TRACK) and Transfusion Risk Understanding Scoring Tool (TRUST) scoring systems. Results: The study found that the model had the highest performance, achieving an AUC of 0.7350 (confidence interval [CI]: 0.7203 to 0.7497). Importantly, all ML algorithms performed significantly better than the commonly used TRACK and TRUST scoring systems. TRACK had an AUC of 0.6757 (CI: 0.6609 to 0.6906), while TRUST had an AUC of 0.6622 (CI: 0.6473 to 0.6906). Conclusion: The findings of this study suggest that ML algorithms may offer a more accurate prediction of the need for blood transfusions than the traditional scoring systems and could enhance the accuracy of predicting blood transfusion requirements in cardiac surgery patients. Further research could focus on optimizing and refining ML algorithms to improve their accuracy and make them more suitable for clinical use.

Validation of Blood Transfusion Risk Scores (TRACK and TRUST) in a Cardiac Surgery Service in Brazil

ABSTRACT Introduction: Transfusion of red blood cells is recurrent in cardiac surgery despite the well-established deleterious effects. Identifying patients with higher chances of requiring blood transfusion is essential to apply strategic preventive measures to reduce such chances, considering the restricted availability of this product. The most used risk scores to predict blood transfusion are the Transfusion Risk and Clinical Knowledge (TRACK) and Transfusion Risk Understanding Scoring Tool (TRUST). However, these scores were not validated for the Brazilian population. The objective of this study was to assess the accuracy of TRACK and TRUST scores in estimating the need for postoperative transfusion of red blood cell concentrates (TRBCC) after cardiac surgery. Methods: A clinical retrospective study was conducted using the database of a Brazilian reference service composed of patients operated between November 2019 and September 2021. Scores were compared using Mann-Whitney U test. Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test assessed calibration of the scores. Accuracy was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). All analyses considered a level of significance of 5%. The study was approved by the research ethics committee (CAAE 55577421.4.0000.5201). Results: This study assessed 498 patients. Only the TRACK score presented good calibration (P=0.238; TRUST P=0.034). AUC of TRACK was 0.678 (95% confidence interval 0.63 to 0.73; P<0.001), showing a significant accuracy. Conclusion: Between the scores analyzed, only the TRACK score showed a good calibration, but low accuracy, to predict postoperative TRBCC after cardiac surgery.

Early Outcomes of Modified De Vega Annuloplasty for Functional Tricuspid Regurgitation at a Brazilian Hospital

Abstract Background: Right valve diseases are not benign, the tricuspid regurgitation has a significant impact on morbidity and mortality of patients. Objectives: This study aimed to report the short-term results of tricuspid annuloplasty using the De Vega technique modified by Manuel Antunes. Methods: A descriptive-analytical study was performed to evaluate the results of the tricuspid valvuloplasty performed at the Instituto de Medicina Integral Professor Fernando Figueira between 2012 and 2017. Data were collected by reviewing charts and databases of the Department of Cardiology and Cardiovascular Surgery of the institution. Those with rheumatic diseases or infective endocarditis with tricuspid valve involvement, or reoperation of the tricuspid valve were excluded. Student's t-test and McNemar's were used for statistical analysis. A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: A total of 87 patients were studied, most of them were women (56.3%). The most associated heart valve diseases were mitral regurgitation (27.6%) and aortic regurgitation (20.7%). There was a significant decrease in the degree of tricuspid regurgitation in the postoperative period, with 83.3% of patients with none or mild regurgitation and only 1.1% with severe regurgitation (p = 0.0077). Conclusions: In the current study, tricuspid valve annuloplasty using the modified De Vega technique was shown to be effective in the short term. Further studies are needed to evaluate the long-term results.

Coronary Angioplasty with Stent in Woman with Active Vaginal Bleeding

Uterine leiomyoma and coronary artery disease are two common diseases in women. However, the association of uterine bleeding caused by leiomyoma with unstable coronary syndrome is not frequent. Here we describe a case of a patient with active vaginal bleeding and unstable angina who underwent a unique approach by performing percutaneous procedures. The report demonstrates that new interventional options can be used to control active bleeding in patients in need of coronary angioplasty

Culture of mouse peritoneal macrophages with mouse serum induces lipid bodies that associate with the parasitophorous vacuole and decrease their microbicidal capacity against Toxoplasma gondii

Lipid bodies [lipid droplets (LBs)] are lipid-rich organelles involved in lipid metabolism, signalling and inflammation. Recent findings suggest a role for LBs in host response to infection; however, the potential functions of this organelle in Toxoplasma gondii infection and how it alters macrophage microbicidal capacity during infection are not well understood. Here, we investigated the role of host LBs in T. gondii infection in mouse peritoneal macrophages in vitro. Macrophages cultured with mouse serum (MS) had higher numbers of LBs than those cultured in foetal bovine serum and can function as a model to study the role of LBs during intracellular pathogen infection. LBs were found in association with the parasitophorous vacuole, suggesting that T. gondii may benefit from this lipid source. Moreover, increased numbers of macrophage LBs correlated with high prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) production and decreased nitric oxide (NO) synthesis. Accordingly, LB-enriched macrophages cultured with MS were less efficient at controlling T. gondii growth. Treatment of macrophages cultured with MS with indomethacin, an inhibitor of PGE2 production, increased the microbicidal capacity against T. gondii. Collectively, these results suggest that culture with MS caused a decrease in microbicidal activity of macrophages against T. gondii by increasing PGE2 while lowering NO production.

Angina pectoris in patients with HIV/AIDS: prevalence and risk factors

INTRODUCTION: The incidence of ischemic heart disease is higher in patients with HIV/AIDS. However, the frequency of angina pectoris in these patients is still not known. Literature about this subject is still scarce. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence of angina pectoris and risk factors for coronary disease and to examine the association between traditional risk factors and HIV-related risk factors and angina pectoris. METHOD: An epidemiological cross-sectional study, analyzed as case-control study, involving 584 patients with HIV/AIDS. Angina pectoris was identified by Rose questionnaire, classified as definite or possible. Information regarding risk factors was obtained through a questionnaire, biochemical laboratory tests, medical records and anthropometric measures taken during consultations at AIDS treatment clinics in Pernambuco, Brazil, from June 2007 to February 2008. To adjust the effect of each factor in relation to others, multiple logistic regression was used. RESULTS: There was a preponderance of men (63.2 percent); mean ages were 39.8 years for men, 36.8 years for women. The prevalence of definite and possible angina were 11 percent and 9.4 percent, respectively, totaling 20.4 percent, with independent associations between angina and smoking (OR = 2.88; 95 percent CI: 1.69-4.90), obesity (OR = 1.62; 95 percent CI: 0.97-2.70), family history of heart attack (OR = 1.70; 95 percent CI: 1.00-2.88), low schooling (OR = 2.11; 95 percent CI: 1.24-3.59), and low monthly income (OR = 2.93; 95 percent CI: 1.18-7.22), even after adjustment for age. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that angina pectoris is underdiagnosed, even in patients with medical monitoring, revealing lost opportunities in identification and prevention of cardiovascular morbidity.

Escore de cálcio na avaliação da aterosclerose em pacientes com HIV/AIDS / Calcium score in the evaluation of atherosclerosis in patients with HIV/Aids

FUNDAMENTO: A terapia antirretroviral aumentou drasticamente a expectativa de vida em pacientes com HIV/AIDS, embora a aterosclerose esteja associada a uma terapia de longo prazo. OBJETIVO: Investigar a prevalência de aterosclerose em pacientes com AIDS submetidos à terapia antirretroviral e a influência de tratamentos de diferentes regimes e durações. MÉTODOS: Pacientes com HIV/AIDS foram abordados durante consultas de rotina. Aqueles que estiveram em terapia antirretroviral por, pelo menos, dois anos tiveram o sangue coletado para análise do perfil lipídico e da glicemia em jejum e foram submetidos à tomografia computadorizada cardíaca para quantificação do escore de cálcio dentro de seis dias, no máximo. A aterosclerose foi definida como escore de cálcio maior que zero (CAC > 0). Fatores de risco tradicionais, síndrome metabólica e o escore de Framingham foram analisados. RESULTADOS: Cinquenta e três pacientes realizaram tomografia computadorizada cardíaca: 50,94 por cento eram do sexo masculino, com idade média de 43,4 anos; 20 por cento tinham hipertensão; 3,77 por cento tinham diabetes; 67,92 por cento tinham hipercolesterolemia; 37,74 por cento tinham hipertrigliceridemia; 47,17 por cento tinham HDL baixo; 24,53 por cento atenderam aos critérios para síndrome metabólica; 96,23 por cento foram classificados no escore de Framingham como "baixo risco"; e 18,87 por cento eram tabagistas. A duração média do tratamento antirretroviral foi de 58,98 meses. A aterosclerose coronária ocorreu em 11 pacientes (20,75 por cento). A duração da terapia antirretroviral não se relacionou à aterosclerose (p = 0,41), e não houve diferenças significativas entre os diferentes esquemas antirretrovirais (p = 0,71). Entre os fatores de risco tradicionais, o tabagismo (OR = 27,20; p = 0,023) e a idade (OR = 20,59; p = 0,033) foram significativos na presença de aterosclerose. Havia tendência para uma associação positiva da aterosclerose com a hipercolesterolemia (OR = 8,30; p = 0,0668). CONCLUSÃO: Os fatores associados à aterosclerose foram idade, tabagismo e hipercolesterolemia. A duração e o tipo de terapia antirretroviral não influenciaram a prevalência da aterosclerose.

BACKGROUND: Antiretroviral therapy has dramatically increased life expectancy in patients with HIV/AIDS although atherosclerosis has been associated with long-standing therapy. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prevalence of atherosclerosis in patients with AIDS undergoing antiretroviral therapy and the influence of different schemes and duration of treatment. METHODS: HIV/AIDS patients were approached during routine consultations. Those who had been on antiretroviral therapy for at least two years had their blood collected for analysis of lipid profile and fasting glycemia and underwent cardiac CT for quantification of calcium score within six days at the most. Atherosclerosis was defined as calcium score greater than zero (CAC > 0). Traditional risk factors, metabolic syndrome and Framingham score were analyzed. RESULTS: Fifty-three patients performed cardiac CT. Twenty-seven (50.94 percent) were male, mean age 43.4 years; 20.00 percent had hypertension, 3.77 percent diabetes, 67.92 percent hypercholesterolemia, 37.74 percent hypertriglyceridemia and 47.17 percent low HDL. Thirteen (24.53 percent) met criteria for metabolic syndrome and 96.23 percent were classified in Framingham score as "low risk." Ten patients (18.87 percent) were smokers. Mean duration of antiretroviral treatment was 58.98 months. Coronary atherosclerosis occurred in 11 (20.75 percent) patients. Duration of antiretroviral therapy was not related to atherosclerosis (p = 0.41) and there were no significant differences between different antiretroviral regimens (p = 0.71). Among traditional risk factors, smoking (OR = 27.20; p = 0.023) and age (OR = 20.59; p = 0.033) were significant in the presence of atherosclerosis. There was a trend towards a positive association of atherosclerosis with hypercholesterolemia (OR = 8.30; p = 0.0668). CONCLUSION: Factors associated with atherosclerosis were age, smoking and hypercholesterolemia. Duration and type of antiretroviral therapy had no influence on the prevalence of atherosclerosis.

Perfil dos pacientes com hipertensão arterial incluídos em uma coorte com HIV/AIDS em Pernambuco, Brasil / Profile of patients with hypertension included in a cohort with HIV/AIDS in the state of Pernambuco, Brazil

FUNDAMENTO: Hipertensão arterial sistêmica (HAS) é fator de risco modificável, cujo controle pode reduzir doença cardiovascular nos pacientes com vírus da imunodeficiência adquirida (HIV). OBJETIVO: Estimar a prevalência de HAS e descrever as características dos pacientes com HAS e pré-hipertensão infectados pelo HIV/AIDS. MÉTODOS: Estudo seccional alinhado a uma coorte de pacientes com HIV/AIDS. Considerou-se hipertensão em níveis > 140/90 mmHg ou uso de anti-hipertensivos e pré-hipertensão em níveis > 120/80 mmHg. RESULTADOS: Dos 958 pacientes, 388 (40,5 por cento) eram normotensos, 325 (33,9 por cento) pré-hipertensos e 245 (25,6 por cento) hipertensos. Desses 245 pacientes, 172 (70,2 por cento) sabiam ser hipertensos e 36 (14,8 por cento) apresentavam pressão arterial controlada. Tiveram diagnóstico de HAS após o diagnóstico do HIV 62 pacientes (54,4 por cento). Lipodistrofia ocorreu em 95 (46,1 por cento) dos pacientes, já sobrepeso/obesidade em 129 (52,7 por cento). Utilização de antirretrovirais ocorreu em 184 (85,9 por cento), 89 (41,6 por cento) com inibidores de protease (IP) e 95 (44,4 por cento) sem IP. Utilizavam antivirais > 24 meses 74,7 por cento. Idade, antecedentes familiares de hipertensão, circunferência abdominal, índice de massa corporal e triglicerídeos foram maiores entre pacientes hipertensos. Tempo de infecção pelo HIV, contagem de linfócitos CD4, carga viral, tempo e tipo de esquema antirretroviral foram semelhantes nos hipertensos e pré-hipertensos. CONCLUSÃO: A elevada frequência de hipertensos não controlados e de riscos cardiovasculares nos infectados pelo HIV apontam a necessidade de medidas preventivas e terapêuticas contra HAS nesse grupo.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension (HBP) is modifiable risk factor, whose control may reduce cardiovascular disease in patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence of hypertension and describe the characteristics of patients with hypertension infected by HIV/AIDS. METHODS: A cross-sectional study aligned to a cohort of patients with HIV/AIDS. The study considered hypertension at levels > 140/90 mmHg or use of antihypertensive drugs and pre-hypertension at levels > 120/80 mmHg. RESULTS: Out of 958 patients, 388 (40.5 percent) were normotensive, 325 (33.9 percent) were pre-hypertensive, and 245 (25.6 percent) were hypertensive. Out of these 245 patients, 172 (70.2 percent) were aware of the fact there they were hypertensive, and 36 (14.8 percent) had blood pressure controlled. Sixty-two (62) patients (54.4 percent) were diagnosed with hypertension after HIV diagnosis. Lipodystrophy occurred in 95 (46.1 percent) patients; overweight/obesity in 129 (52.7 percent). Use of antiretrovirals occurred in 184 (85.9 percent), 89 (41.6 percent) with protease inhibitors (PI) and 95 (44.4 percent) without PI. Out of these patients, 74.7 used antivirals > 24 months. Age, family history of hypertension, waist circumference, body mass index and triglyceride levels were higher among hypertensive patients. Time of HIV infection, CD4 count, viral load, time and type of antiretroviral regimen were similar in hypertensive and prehypertensive patients. CONCLUSION: The high frequency of uncontrolled hypertensive patients and cardiovascular risks in HIV-infected patients point out to the need for preventive and therapeutic measures against hypertension in this group.

Risk factors related to hypertension among patients in a cohort living with HIV/AIDS

INTRODUCTION: Studies disagree as to whether there is a greater prevalence of hypertension among HIV/AIDS patients and the role of antiretroviral therapy. OBJECTIVE: Evaluate the prevalence of hypertension and risk factors in a cohort of HIV-infected patients, with emphasis on antiretroviral therapy. METHOD: Case-control study conducted at baseline of a cohort, between June/2007 and December/2008 in Pernambuco/Brazil. Blood pressure was classified as normal, prehypertension, and hypertension. RESULTS: Of 958 patients, 245 (25.6 percent) had hypertension (cases), 325 (33.9 percent) had prehypertension, and 388 (40.5 percent) were normotensive (controls). Comparison between hypertensive and normotensive patients showed that traditional factors, such as age > 40 (OR = 3.06, CI = 1.91-4.97), male gender (OR = 1.85, CI = 1.15-3.01), BMI > 25 (OR = 5.51, CI = 3.36-9.17), and triglycerides > 150 mg/dL (OR = 1.69, CI = 1.05-2.71), were independently associated with hypertension. Duration of antiretroviral therapy and CD4 > 200 cells/mm³ were associated with hypertension in univariate analysis, but did not remain in final model. Type of antiretroviral schema and lipodystrophy showed no association with hypertension. CONCLUSION: Hypertension in HIV/AIDS patients is partially linked to invariable factors, such as age and sex. Efforts should be directed toward controlling reversible factors, particularly excessive weight gain and unsuitable diet.